Titre :
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Treatment Effects in the Presence of Unmeasured Confounding : Dealing With Observations in the Tails of the Propensity Score Distribution : A Simulation Study. (2010)
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Auteurs :
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STURMER (Til) : USA. Department of Epidemiology. Gillings School of Global Public Health. University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Chapel Hill. NC. ;
Jerry AVORN ;
GLYNN (Robert-J) : USA. Department of Biostatistics. Harvard School of Public Health. Boston. MA. ;
ROTHMAN (Kenneth-J) : USA. Rti Health Solutions. Research Triangle Park. NC. ;
Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics. Brigham and Women's Hospital. Harvard Medical School. Boston. MA. USA
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Type de document :
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Article
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Dans :
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American journal of epidemiology (vol. 172, n° 7, 2010)
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Pagination :
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843-854
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Langues:
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Anglais
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Mots-clés :
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Thérapeutique
;
Observation
;
Distribution
;
Simulation
;
Biais
;
Facteur
;
Epidémiologie
;
Modèle
;
Statistique
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Résumé :
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[BDSP. Notice produite par INIST-CNRS plr9R0xq. Diffusion soumise à autorisation]. Frailty, a poorly measured confounder in older patients, can promote treatment in some situations and discourage it in others. This can create unmeasured confounding and lead to nonuniform treatment effects over the propensity score (PS). The authors compared bias and mean squared error for various PS implementations under PS trimming, thereby excluding persons treated contrary to prediction. Cohort studies were simulated with a binary treatment T as a function of 8 covariates X. Two of the covariates were assumed to be unmeasured strong risk factors for the outcome and present in persons treated contrary to prediction. The outcome Y was simulated as a Poisson function of Tand all X's. In analyses based on measured covariates only, the range of PS's was trimmed asymmetrically according to the percentile of PS in treated patients at the lower end and in untreated patients at the upper end. PS trimming reduced bias due to unmeasured confounders and mean squared error in most scenarios assessed. Treatment effect estimates based on PS range restrictions do not correspond to a causal parameter but may be less biased by such unmeasured confounding. Increasing validity based on PS trimming may be a unique advantage of PS's over conventional outcome models.
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