Titre :
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Validation of a Method for Reconstructing Historical Rates of Smoking Prevalence (2014)
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Auteurs :
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Usama BILAL ;
Social and Cardiovascular Epidemiology Research Group, University of Alcalá (Madrid, Espagne) ;
Esteve Fernandez ;
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (Baltimore MD, Etats-Unis) ;
Paula BELTRAN ;
Department of Epidemiology, Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Cardiovasculares (Madrid, Espagne) ;
Ana NAVAS-ACIEN ;
Francisco BOLUMAR ;
Manuel FRANCO
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Type de document :
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Article
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Dans :
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American journal of epidemiology (vol. 179, n° 1, janvier 2014)
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Pagination :
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15-19
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Langues:
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Anglais
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Mots-clés :
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Tabagisme
;
Méthode
;
Méthodologie
;
Taux
;
Tabac
;
Prévalence
;
Pays voie développement
;
Prévention santé
;
Contrôle
;
Surveillance
;
Epidémiologie
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Résumé :
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[BDSP. Notice produite par INIST-CNRS nR0xDGnD. Diffusion soumise à autorisation]. The validity of methods for reconstructing historical rates of smoking prevalence has not been assessed before. Our objective was to assess their validity. We reconstructed smoking prevalence rates for each calendar year from 1940 to 2007 for men and women in Spain, using data on ages of smoking initiation and cessation available in the Spanish National Health Surveys of 2003-2004 and 2006-2007. To assess the validity of the reconstruction, we computed the differences between the reconstructed smoking prevalence and the contemporary observed smoking prevalence measured in the Spanish National Health Surveys of 1987,1993,1995,1997, and 2001. We also compared reconstructed smoking prevalence trends with 35-year lagged lung cancer mortality rates in Spain as a proxy for the real prevalence trends. Reconstructed smoking prevalence rates compared with contemporary measured rates showed small differences in men (between - 2.1% and 2.1%) and an overestimation in women (between 2.0% and 5.7%). Reconstructed smoking prevalence trends were significantly correlated with lagged lung cancer mortality trends (P=0.004 for men, P
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