| Titre : | Trends in obesity among adults in England from 1993 to 2004 by age and social class and projections of prevalence to 2012. (2009) |
| Auteurs : | P. ZANINOTTO ; J. HEAD ; J. MINDELL ; E. STAMATAKIS ; WARDLE (H.) : GBR. National Centre for Social Research (NatCen). London. ; Department of Epidemiology and Public Health. Ucl. London. GBR |
| Type de document : | Article |
| Dans : | Journal of epidemiology and community health (vol. 63, n° 2, 2009) |
| Pagination : | 140-146 |
| Langues: | Anglais |
| Mots-clés : | Obésité ; Tendance séculaire ; Adulte ; Angleterre ; Age ; Classe sociale ; Europe sociale ; Prévalence ; Homme ; Grande Bretagne ; Europe |
| Résumé : | [BDSP. Notice produite par INIST-CNRS Gm9R0xol. Diffusion soumise à autorisation]. Background : This study aims to project the prevalence of adult obesity to 2012 by age groups and social class, by extrapolating the prevalence trends from 1993 to 2004. Repeated cross-sectional surveys were carried out of representative samples of the general population living in households in England conducted annually (1993 to 2004). Methods : Participants were classified as obese if their body mass index was over 30 kg/m2. Projections of obesity prevalence by 2012 were based on three scenarios : extrapolation of linear trend in prevalence from 1993 to 2004 ; acceleration (or slowing down) in rate of change based on the best fitting curve (power or exponential) ; and extrapolation of linear trend based on the six most recent years (1999 to 2004). Results : The prevalence of obesity increased significantly from 1993 to 2004 from 13.6% to 24.0% among men and from 16.9% to 24.4% among women. If obesity prevalence continues to increase at the same rate, it is projected that the prevalence of obesity in 2012 will be 32.1% (95% Cl 30.4 to 34.8) in men and 31.0% (95% Cl 29.0 to 33.1) in women. The projected 2012 prevalence for adults in manual social classes is higher (43%) than for adults in non-manual social classes (35%). Conclusion : If recent trends in adult obesity continue, about a third of all adults (almost 13 million individuals) would be obese by 2012. Of these, around 43% are from manual social classes, thereby adding to the public health burden of obesity-related illnesses. This highlights the need for public health action to halt or reverse current trends and narrow social class inequalities in health. |
Service Documentation EHESP
Me connecter
PORTAIL DOCUMENTAIRE
École des hautes études en santé publique
Catalogue
Multi-bases
Accueil
Sélection de la langue
Adresse
Service Documentation EHESPBibliothèque Rennes Avenue du Professeur Léon Bernard – CS 74312 – 35043 Rennes Cedex Bibliothèque MSSH Paris 20 avenue George Sand - 93210 La Plaine Saint-Denis
France
Bibliothèque Rennes : 02 99 02 29 50 Bibliothèque MSSH Paris : 02 99 02 24 50
contact