| Titre : | Adult cigarette smoking prevalence : Declining as expected (not as desired). (2004) |
| Auteurs : | David MENDEZ ; Kenneth-E WARNER ; University of Michigan School of Public Health. Department of Health Management and Policy. Ann Arbor. USA |
| Type de document : | Article |
| Dans : | American journal of public health (vol. 94, n° 2, 2004) |
| Pagination : | 251-252 |
| Langues: | Anglais |
| Mots-clés : | Adulte ; Homme ; Tabagisme ; Prévalence ; Epidémiologie |
| Résumé : | [BDSP. Notice produite par INIST-CNRS oQR0xfCy. Diffusion soumise à autorisation]. We compared observed smoking prevalence data for 1995-2002 with predictions derived from a previously published population dynamics model to determine whether the recent trend in smoking prevalence is consistent with the downward pattern we predicted. The observed data fit our projections closely (R 2=89). Consistent with the logic underlying the model, we conclude that adult smoking prevalence will continue to fall for the foreseeable future, although at a rate approximately half that of the decline experienced during the 1970s and 1980s. |
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