Titre :
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Implications of an aging registered nurse workforce. (2000)
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Auteurs :
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P.I. BUERHAUS ;
D.I. AUERBACH ;
D.O. STAIGER
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Type de document :
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Article
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Dans :
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JAMA - Journal of the american medical association (vol. 283, n° 22, 2000)
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Pagination :
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2948-2954
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Langues:
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Anglais
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Mots-clés :
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Infirmier
;
Evolution
;
Age
;
Etiologie
;
Projection
;
Homme
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Résumé :
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[BDSP. Notice produite par INIST 25JR0x3C. Diffusion soumise à autorisation]. Context The average age of registered nurses (RNs), the largest group of health care professionals in the United States, increased substantially from 1983 to 1998. No empirically based analysis of the causes and implications of this aging workforce exists. Objectives To identify and assess key sources of changes in the age distribution and total supply of RNs and to project the future age distribution and total RN workforce up to the year 2020. Design and Setting Retrospective cohort analysis of employment trends of recent RN cohorts over their lifetimes based on US Bureau of the Census Current Population Surveys between 1973 and 1998. Recent workforce trends were used to forecast long-term age and employment of RNs. Participants Employed RNs aged 23 to 64 years (N=60386). Main Outcome Measures Annual full-time equivalent employment of RNs in total and by single year of age. Results The average age of working RNs increased by 4.5 years between 1983 and 1998. The number of full-time equivalent RNs observed in recent cohorts has been approximately 35% lower than that observed at similar ages for cohorts that entered the labor market 20 years earlier. Over the next 2 decades, this trend will lead to a further aging of the RN workforce because the largest cohorts of RNs will be between age 50 and 69 years. Within the next 10 years, the average age of RNs is forecast to be 45.4 years, an increase of 3. (...)
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